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Match prediction · League Two

Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · St James Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Fleetwood Town Away +1.5

For this to come in, Fleetwood Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Exeter City

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 0–0 at Colchester United Exeter City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓

Fleetwood Town

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✓ 2–4

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 2–4 at Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 1–1 v Walsall Walsall Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Salford City Fleetwood Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 v Rochdale Fleetwood Town Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Exeter City wins 2 Draws 2 Fleetwood Town wins 1
  1. 24 Feb 2024 Exeter City 1–1 Fleetwood Town
  2. 11 Nov 2023 Fleetwood Town 3–0 Exeter City
  3. 1 Apr 2023 Fleetwood Town 2–2 Exeter City
  4. 22 Oct 2022 Exeter City 2–1 Fleetwood Town
  5. 22 Mar 2014 Exeter City 3–0 Fleetwood Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.