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Match prediction · League Two

Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood Town

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Cheltenham Town Home +1.5

For this to come in, Cheltenham Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Cheltenham Town

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✕ 0–2
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✓ 1–4

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–4 at Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic or draw ✓
  2. L 0–2 v Salford City Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–2 at Accrington Stanley Cheltenham Town Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 2–1 v Chesterfield Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Colchester United Colchester United or draw ✓

Fleetwood Town

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–3
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 1–1 v Walsall Walsall Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–1 at Salford City Fleetwood Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 v Rochdale Fleetwood Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–3 at Barnet Barnet or draw ✓

Last meetings

Cheltenham Town wins 2 Draws 1 Fleetwood Town wins 2
  1. 10 Mar 2026 Fleetwood Town 2–2 Cheltenham Town
  2. 4 Oct 2025 Cheltenham Town 2–0 Fleetwood Town
  3. 8 Feb 2025 Fleetwood Town 2–0 Cheltenham Town
  4. 28 Sep 2024 Cheltenham Town 0–2 Fleetwood Town
  5. 29 Mar 2024 Fleetwood Town 1–2 Cheltenham Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.