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Match prediction · League Two

Oldham Athletic vs Cheltenham Town

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Boundary Park

Our call 1X
Oldham Athletic or draw

For this to come in, Oldham Athletic must win or draw.

Model confidence 79%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Oldham Athletic

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✓ 0–2
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✕ 0–2
  4. ✓ 1–4
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 v Accrington Stanley Oldham Athletic or draw ✓
  2. L 1–4 v Salford City Salford City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Rochdale Oldham Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  4. L 1–2 v Chesterfield Chesterfield Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–2 at Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓

Cheltenham Town

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 3–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✕ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–2 v Salford City Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–2 at Accrington Stanley Cheltenham Town Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 2–1 v Chesterfield Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Colchester United Colchester United or draw ✓
  5. W 3–1 at Crawley Town Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Oldham Athletic wins 3 Draws 0 Cheltenham Town wins 2
  1. 17 Jan 2026 Oldham Athletic 2–1 Cheltenham Town
  2. 20 Sep 2025 Cheltenham Town 0–3 Oldham Athletic
  3. 26 Jan 2021 Cheltenham Town 2–0 Oldham Athletic
  4. 3 Nov 2020 Oldham Athletic 2–1 Cheltenham Town
  5. 4 Jan 2020 Cheltenham Town 3–0 Oldham Athletic

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.