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Match prediction · League Two

Northampton Town vs Oldham Athletic

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Oldham Athletic Away +1.5

For this to come in, Oldham Athletic must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 85%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Northampton Town

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✕ 2–0
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Accrington Stanley Northampton Town Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Colchester United Colchester United Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–1 v Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–0 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town or draw ✕
  5. D 1–1 at York City York City win ✕

Oldham Athletic

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 4–1
  3. ✕ 0–3
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 0–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v Crawley Town Oldham Athletic or draw ✕
  2. D 1–1 at Barnet Either team to win ✕
  3. L 0–3 at Walsall Oldham Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 4–1 v Cheltenham Town Oldham Athletic or draw ✓
  5. D 0–0 v Accrington Stanley Oldham Athletic or draw ✓

Last meetings

Northampton Town wins 4 Draws 1 Oldham Athletic wins 0
  1. 15 Apr 2022 Oldham Athletic 0–2 Northampton Town
  2. 23 Nov 2021 Northampton Town 2–1 Oldham Athletic
  3. 2 Nov 2019 Oldham Athletic 2–2 Northampton Town
  4. 4 May 2019 Oldham Athletic 2–5 Northampton Town
  5. 27 Oct 2018 Northampton Town 2–1 Oldham Athletic

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.