BabaVanga
Build a parlay
Match prediction · Championship

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough

Wed 4 Nov · 19:45 UK time · Racecourse Ground

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Wrexham Home +1.5

For this to come in, Wrexham must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Wrexham

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✕ 4–1
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Sheffield United Either team to win ✓
  2. L 0–2 at Blackburn Rovers Wrexham Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 4–1 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  4. L 1–2 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Derby County Wrexham Away +1.5 ✓

Middlesbrough

W4 D1 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 3–2
  3. ✕ 2–2
  4. ✓ 5–1
  5. ✓ 3–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–0 v Charlton Athletic Middlesbrough win ✓
  2. W 5–1 at Bolton Wanderers Either team to win ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Cardiff City Middlesbrough win ✕
  4. W 3–2 at Stoke City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Wrexham wins 0 Draws 2 Middlesbrough wins 0
  1. 2 May 2026 Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough
  2. 25 Oct 2025 Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.