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Match prediction · Championship

Cardiff City vs West Ham United

Wed 4 Nov · 19:45 UK time · Cardiff City Stadium

Our call
West Ham United win
Model confidence 56%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Cardiff City

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✕ 5–1
  3. ✕ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 0–3

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–3 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✓
  2. W 1–0 v Birmingham City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Middlesbrough Middlesbrough win ✕
  4. W 5–1 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✕
  5. L 1–2 at Blackburn Rovers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓

West Ham United

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 6–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 2–3
  5. ✕ 1–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–3 v West Bromwich Albion West Ham United win ✕
  2. L 2–3 v Southampton West Ham United win ✕
  3. W 1–0 at Swansea City West Ham United or draw ✓
  4. W 6–0 at Lincoln City West Ham United or draw ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Queens Park Rangers West Ham United win ✕

Last meetings

Cardiff City wins 1 Draws 0 West Ham United wins 4
  1. 9 Mar 2019 Cardiff City 2–0 West Ham United
  2. 4 Dec 2018 West Ham United 3–1 Cardiff City
  3. 11 Jan 2014 Cardiff City 0–2 West Ham United
  4. 17 Aug 2013 West Ham United 2–0 Cardiff City
  5. 4 Mar 2012 Cardiff City 0–2 West Ham United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.