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Match prediction · Championship

Portsmouth vs Swansea City

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45 UK time · Fratton Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Swansea City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Swansea City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Portsmouth

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 3–2
  2. ✕ 1–0
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✕ 0–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 at Burnley Burnley win ✕
  2. W 2–1 v Millwall Portsmouth Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  4. W 1–0 at Norwich City Norwich City or draw ✕
  5. W 3–2 v Sheffield United Portsmouth Home +1.5 ✓

Swansea City

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✕ 0–5
  5. ✕ 4–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–0 v Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–5 at Queens Park Rangers Swansea City Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–1 v West Ham United West Ham United or draw ✓
  4. W 1–0 at Millwall Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Norwich City Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Portsmouth wins 1 Draws 2 Swansea City wins 2
  1. 10 Mar 2026 Portsmouth 1–2 Swansea City
  2. 9 Dec 2025 Swansea City 1–0 Portsmouth
  3. 1 Jan 2025 Portsmouth 4–0 Swansea City
  4. 30 Nov 2024 Swansea City 2–2 Portsmouth
  5. 23 Apr 2011 Portsmouth 0–0 Swansea City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.