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Match prediction · Premier League

Liverpool vs Arsenal

Sun 1 Nov · 16:30 UK time · Anfield

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Liverpool Home +1.5

For this to come in, Liverpool must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 79%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Liverpool

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 0–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✕ 0–3
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 2–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Brighton & Hove Albion Either team to win ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Brentford Either team to win ✓
  3. L 0–3 v Manchester City Liverpool Home +1.5 ✕
  4. W 1–0 at Bournemouth Either team to win ✓
  5. D 0–0 v Fulham Liverpool win ✕

Arsenal

W4 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✕ 0–3
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 2–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Everton Arsenal win ✓
  2. W 1–0 at Nottingham Forest Arsenal win ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Leeds United Arsenal win ✓
  4. L 0–3 at Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal or draw ✕
  5. W 2–0 at Sunderland Arsenal win ✓

Last meetings

Liverpool wins 1 Draws 3 Arsenal wins 1
  1. 8 Jan 2026 Arsenal 0–0 Liverpool
  2. 31 Aug 2025 Liverpool 1–0 Arsenal
  3. 11 May 2025 Liverpool 2–2 Arsenal
  4. 27 Oct 2024 Arsenal 2–2 Liverpool
  5. 4 Feb 2024 Arsenal 3–1 Liverpool

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.