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Match prediction · Premier League

Sunderland vs Arsenal

Sat 12 Sep · 20:00 UK time · Stadium of Light

Our call
Arsenal win
Model confidence 67%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Sunderland

W1 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Brentford Brentford win ✕
  2. W 1–0 v Fulham Sunderland Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 at Ipswich Town Sunderland Away +1.5 ✓

Arsenal

W3 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 3–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 3 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Chelsea Arsenal win ✓
  2. W 1–0 at Aston Villa Arsenal or draw ✓
  3. W 3–0 v Coventry City Arsenal win ✓

Last meetings

Sunderland wins 0 Draws 2 Arsenal wins 3
  1. 7 Feb 2026 Arsenal 3–0 Sunderland
  2. 8 Nov 2025 Sunderland 2–2 Arsenal
  3. 16 May 2017 Arsenal 2–0 Sunderland
  4. 29 Oct 2016 Sunderland 1–4 Arsenal
  5. 24 Apr 2016 Sunderland 0–0 Arsenal

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.