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Match prediction · Premier League

Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Sun 25 Oct · 14:00 UK time · Anfield

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Liverpool or Brighton & Hove Albion must win.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Liverpool

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✕ 0–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 0–3
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 at Brentford Either team to win ✓
  2. L 0–3 v Manchester City Liverpool Home +1.5 ✕
  3. W 1–0 at Bournemouth Either team to win ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Fulham Liverpool win ✕
  5. W 2–0 at Ipswich Town Liverpool win ✓

Brighton & Hove Albion

W4 D1 L0
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 5–0
  3. ✕ 3–0
  4. ✓ 2–0
  5. ✓ 5–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 5–0 v Crystal Palace Either team to win ✓
  2. W 2–0 at Sunderland Brighton & Hove Albion or draw ✓
  3. W 3–0 v Arsenal Arsenal or draw ✕
  4. W 5–0 at Coventry City Either team to win ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Leeds United Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Liverpool wins 3 Draws 0 Brighton & Hove Albion wins 2
  1. 21 Mar 2026 Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Liverpool
  2. 13 Dec 2025 Liverpool 2–0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  3. 19 May 2025 Brighton & Hove Albion 3–2 Liverpool
  4. 2 Nov 2024 Liverpool 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  5. 31 Mar 2024 Liverpool 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.