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Match prediction · Premier League

Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Stadium of Light

Our call X2
Brighton & Hove Albion or draw

For this to come in, Brighton & Hove Albion must win or draw.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Sunderland

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✓ 3–5

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 3–5 at Manchester City Manchester City win ✓
  2. L 0–2 v Arsenal Arsenal win ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Brentford Brentford win ✕
  4. W 1–0 v Fulham Sunderland Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Ipswich Town Sunderland Away +1.5 ✓

Brighton & Hove Albion

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 4–0
  2. ✓ 3–4
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 5–0
  5. ✕ 3–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–0 v Arsenal Arsenal or draw ✕
  2. W 5–0 at Coventry City Either team to win ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Leeds United Either team to win ✕
  4. L 3–4 at Chelsea Brighton & Hove Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 4–0 v Aston Villa Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Sunderland wins 0 Draws 1 Brighton & Hove Albion wins 1
  1. 14 Mar 2026 Sunderland 0–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  2. 20 Dec 2025 Brighton & Hove Albion 0–0 Sunderland

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.