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Match prediction · Premier League

Manchester City vs Sunderland

Sun 20 Sep · 14:00 UK time · Etihad Stadium

Our call
Manchester City win
Model confidence 79%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Manchester City

W4 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 4–1
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 4 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 at Manchester United Either team to win ✓
  2. W 1–0 v Coventry City Manchester City win ✓
  3. W 4–1 at Crystal Palace Manchester City win ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Bournemouth Manchester City win ✓

Sunderland

W1 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 4 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 v Arsenal Arsenal win ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Brentford Brentford win ✕
  3. W 1–0 v Fulham Sunderland Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 at Ipswich Town Sunderland Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Manchester City wins 4 Draws 1 Sunderland wins 0
  1. 1 Jan 2026 Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City
  2. 6 Dec 2025 Manchester City 3–0 Sunderland
  3. 5 Mar 2017 Sunderland 0–2 Manchester City
  4. 13 Aug 2016 Manchester City 2–1 Sunderland
  5. 2 Feb 2016 Sunderland 0–1 Manchester City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.