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Match prediction · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal

Sat 19 Sep · 15:00 UK time · American Express Stadium

Our call X2
Arsenal or draw

For this to come in, Arsenal must win or draw.

Model confidence 77%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Brighton & Hove Albion

W2 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 4–0
  2. ✓ 3–4
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 5–0

Our calls: 2 of 4 came in

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  1. W 5–0 at Coventry City Either team to win ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Leeds United Either team to win ✕
  3. L 3–4 at Chelsea Brighton & Hove Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 4–0 v Aston Villa Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✕

Arsenal

W4 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 3–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 2–0

Our calls: 4 of 4 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 at Sunderland Arsenal win ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Chelsea Arsenal win ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Aston Villa Arsenal or draw ✓
  4. W 3–0 v Coventry City Arsenal win ✓

Last meetings

Brighton & Hove Albion wins 0 Draws 2 Arsenal wins 3
  1. 4 Mar 2026 Brighton & Hove Albion 0–1 Arsenal
  2. 27 Dec 2025 Arsenal 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  3. 4 Jan 2025 Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Arsenal
  4. 31 Aug 2024 Arsenal 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  5. 6 Apr 2024 Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 Arsenal

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.