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Match prediction · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace

Sun 18 Oct · 14:00 UK time · American Express Stadium

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Brighton & Hove Albion or Crystal Palace must win.

Model confidence 75%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Brighton & Hove Albion

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 3–4
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✓ 5–0
  4. ✕ 3–0
  5. ✓ 2–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 at Sunderland Brighton & Hove Albion or draw ✓
  2. W 3–0 v Arsenal Arsenal or draw ✕
  3. W 5–0 at Coventry City Either team to win ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Leeds United Either team to win ✕
  5. L 3–4 at Chelsea Brighton & Hove Albion Away +1.5 ✓

Crystal Palace

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–4
  2. ✓ 3–2
  3. ✕ 2–3
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✕ 3–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 v Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 0–0 at Leeds United Crystal Palace Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 2–3 v Ipswich Town Crystal Palace win ✕
  4. W 3–2 at Fulham Crystal Palace Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–4 v Manchester City Manchester City win ✓

Last meetings

Brighton & Hove Albion wins 1 Draws 1 Crystal Palace wins 3
  1. 8 Feb 2026 Brighton & Hove Albion 0–1 Crystal Palace
  2. 9 Nov 2025 Crystal Palace 0–0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  3. 5 Apr 2025 Crystal Palace 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion
  4. 15 Dec 2024 Brighton & Hove Albion 1–3 Crystal Palace
  5. 3 Feb 2024 Brighton & Hove Albion 4–1 Crystal Palace

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.