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Match prediction · Premier League

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal

Sun 18 Oct · 16:30 UK time · City Ground

Our call
Arsenal win
Model confidence 57%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Nottingham Forest

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 2–2
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✕ 0–1
  5. ✕ 1–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–3 at Crystal Palace Nottingham Forest Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–1 v Coventry City Nottingham Forest win ✕
  3. W 2–1 at Aston Villa Either team to win ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 at Liverpool Liverpool win ✕

Arsenal

W4 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 2–0
  4. ✕ 0–3
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Leeds United Arsenal win ✓
  2. L 0–3 at Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal or draw ✕
  3. W 2–0 at Sunderland Arsenal win ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Chelsea Arsenal win ✓
  5. W 1–0 at Aston Villa Arsenal or draw ✓

Last meetings

Nottingham Forest wins 0 Draws 2 Arsenal wins 3
  1. 17 Jan 2026 Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal
  2. 13 Sep 2025 Arsenal 3–0 Nottingham Forest
  3. 26 Feb 2025 Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal
  4. 23 Nov 2024 Arsenal 3–0 Nottingham Forest
  5. 30 Jan 2024 Nottingham Forest 1–2 Arsenal

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.