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Match prediction · Premier League

Arsenal vs Everton

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Emirates Stadium

Our call
Arsenal win
Model confidence 68%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Arsenal

W4 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 2–0
  3. ✕ 0–3
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 at Nottingham Forest Arsenal win ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Leeds United Arsenal win ✓
  3. L 0–3 at Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal or draw ✕
  4. W 2–0 at Sunderland Arsenal win ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Chelsea Arsenal win ✓

Everton

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✕ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 v Chelsea Everton Home +1.5 ✕
  2. D 2–2 at Hull City Everton win ✕
  3. W 1–0 v Ipswich Town Everton win ✓
  4. D 0–0 at Tottenham Hotspur Everton Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Manchester United Everton Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Arsenal wins 3 Draws 2 Everton wins 0
  1. 14 Mar 2026 Arsenal 2–0 Everton
  2. 20 Dec 2025 Everton 0–1 Arsenal
  3. 5 Apr 2025 Everton 1–1 Arsenal
  4. 14 Dec 2024 Arsenal 0–0 Everton
  5. 19 May 2024 Arsenal 2–1 Everton

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.