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Match prediction · Premier League

Aston Villa vs Sunderland

Sat 21 Nov · 15:00 UK time · Villa Park

Our call

Published on matchday at 06:00 UTC, before kick-off. Every call is graded after the match.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Aston Villa

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✕ 2–2
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 4–4

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

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  1. D 4–4 at Manchester United Either team to win ✕
  2. D 1–1 v Fulham Either team to win ✕
  3. W 2–1 v Manchester City Either team to win ✓
  4. W 1–0 at Newcastle United Either team to win ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Brentford Either team to win ✕

Sunderland

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 0–2
  2. ✓ 0–2
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✕ 1–3
  5. ✕ 1–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. W 1–0 v Chelsea Chelsea or draw ✕
  2. L 1–3 at Coventry City Sunderland Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 0–0 v Leeds United Sunderland Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–2 at Bournemouth Bournemouth win ✓
  5. L 0–2 v Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion or draw ✓

Last meetings

Aston Villa wins 3 Draws 1 Sunderland wins 1
  1. 19 Apr 2026 Aston Villa 4–3 Sunderland
  2. 21 Sep 2025 Sunderland 1–1 Aston Villa
  3. 6 Mar 2018 Sunderland 0–3 Aston Villa
  4. 21 Nov 2017 Aston Villa 2–1 Sunderland
  5. 2 Jan 2016 Sunderland 3–1 Aston Villa

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.