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Match prediction · Premier League

Aston Villa vs Brentford

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Villa Park

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Aston Villa or Brentford must win.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Aston Villa

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✕ 0–4
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✕ 0–0
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✓ 3–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–2 at Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–2 v Nottingham Forest Either team to win ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Hull City Aston Villa win ✕
  4. L 0–1 v Arsenal Arsenal or draw ✓
  5. L 0–4 at Brighton & Hove Albion Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✕

Brentford

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 3–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✕ 3–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. W 3–0 v Chelsea Chelsea Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 2–2 at Bournemouth Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Sunderland Brentford win ✕
  4. D 1–1 at Leeds United Brentford Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–0 v Tottenham Hotspur Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Aston Villa wins 2 Draws 1 Brentford wins 2
  1. 1 Feb 2026 Aston Villa 0–1 Brentford
  2. 23 Aug 2025 Brentford 1–0 Aston Villa
  3. 8 Mar 2025 Brentford 0–1 Aston Villa
  4. 4 Dec 2024 Aston Villa 3–1 Brentford
  5. 6 Apr 2024 Aston Villa 3–3 Brentford

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.