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Match prediction · Premier League

Manchester United vs Aston Villa

Sun 8 Nov · 16:30 UK time · Old Trafford

Our call

Published on matchday at 06:00 UTC, before kick-off. Every call is graded after the match.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Manchester United

W0 D3 L2
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–3
  5. ✕ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–2 at Chelsea Manchester United Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–3 v Bournemouth Either team to win ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Leeds United Leeds United Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Tottenham Hotspur Either team to win ✕
  5. D 1–1 at Fulham Fulham Home +1.5 ✓

Aston Villa

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 3–2
  2. ✕ 2–2
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. D 1–1 v Fulham Either team to win ✕
  2. W 2–1 v Manchester City Either team to win ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Newcastle United Either team to win ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Brentford Either team to win ✕
  5. W 3–2 at Tottenham Hotspur Aston Villa Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Manchester United wins 3 Draws 1 Aston Villa wins 1
  1. 15 Mar 2026 Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa
  2. 21 Dec 2025 Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester United
  3. 25 May 2025 Manchester United 2–0 Aston Villa
  4. 6 Oct 2024 Aston Villa 0–0 Manchester United
  5. 11 Feb 2024 Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.