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Match prediction · League One

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town

Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Mansfield Town Away +1.5

For this to come in, Mansfield Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Stevenage

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 0–2
  3. ✕ 3–0
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✕
  2. L 0–1 v MK Dons MK Dons Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 3–0 v Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Away +1.5 ✕
  4. L 0–2 at Bradford City Bradford City or draw ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓

Mansfield Town

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✕ 3–0
  3. ✓ 4–1
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✕ 0–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 at Wigan Athletic Either team to win ✕
  2. L 0–2 v Notts County Either team to win ✓
  3. W 4–1 at Blackpool Mansfield Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 3–0 at AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon Home +1.5 ✕
  5. D 1–1 v Oxford United Oxford United Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Stevenage wins 1 Draws 3 Mansfield Town wins 1
  1. 24 Jan 2026 Stevenage 1–1 Mansfield Town
  2. 13 Sep 2025 Mansfield Town 1–1 Stevenage
  3. 8 Mar 2025 Stevenage 1–1 Mansfield Town
  4. 19 Oct 2024 Mansfield Town 0–1 Stevenage
  5. 22 Apr 2023 Mansfield Town 1–0 Stevenage

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.