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Match prediction · League One

Mansfield Town vs Oxford United

Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Oxford United Away +1.5

For this to come in, Oxford United must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Mansfield Town

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 0–5
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Bromley Mansfield Town or draw ✓
  2. D 2–2 at Burton Albion Burton Albion Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 v Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Bradford City Mansfield Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–5 at Reading Mansfield Town Away +1.5 ✕

Oxford United

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 1–3
  2. ✕ 4–0
  3. ✓ 3–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 at Notts County Notts County Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Cambridge United Oxford United or draw ✓
  3. W 3–0 v Burton Albion Oxford United win ✓
  4. W 4–0 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✕
  5. L 1–3 at Huddersfield Town Oxford United Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Mansfield Town wins 1 Draws 2 Oxford United wins 2
  1. 9 Feb 2016 Oxford United 2–2 Mansfield Town
  2. 22 Aug 2015 Mansfield Town 1–1 Oxford United
  3. 21 Feb 2015 Oxford United 3–0 Mansfield Town
  4. 16 Aug 2014 Mansfield Town 2–1 Oxford United
  5. 15 Feb 2014 Oxford United 3–0 Mansfield Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.