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Match prediction · League One

Notts County vs Oxford United

Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK time · Meadow Lane

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Notts County Home +1.5

For this to come in, Notts County must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Notts County

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 0–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 at Reading Either team to win ✓
  2. L 0–1 v Bradford City Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Huddersfield Town Either team to win ✕
  4. D 1–1 at Doncaster Rovers Notts County Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Burton Albion Burton Albion Away +1.5 ✓

Oxford United

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✕ 1–3
  3. ✕ 4–0
  4. ✓ 3–0
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Cambridge United Oxford United or draw ✓
  2. W 3–0 v Burton Albion Oxford United win ✓
  3. W 4–0 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✕
  4. L 1–3 at Huddersfield Town Oxford United Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 2–1 at Stevenage Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Notts County wins 0 Draws 0 Oxford United wins 2
  1. 2 Jan 2016 Notts County 2–4 Oxford United
  2. 18 Aug 2015 Oxford United 3–1 Notts County

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.