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Match prediction · League One

Oxford United vs Burton Albion

Sat 12 Sep · 15:00 UK time

Our call
Oxford United win
Model confidence 56%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Oxford United

W2 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✕ 1–3
  4. ✕ 4–0

Our calls: 2 of 4 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–0 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✕
  2. L 1–3 at Huddersfield Town Oxford United Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 2–1 at Stevenage Either team to win ✓
  4. D 2–2 v MK Dons Oxford United or draw ✓

Burton Albion

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✕ 2–1
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 4–1
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 v Cambridge United Cambridge United Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 4–1 v AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 1–2 at Notts County Burton Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✕
  5. D 1–1 v Stevenage Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Oxford United wins 4 Draws 0 Burton Albion wins 1
  1. 6 Apr 2024 Burton Albion 0–4 Oxford United
  2. 16 Dec 2023 Oxford United 3–0 Burton Albion
  3. 28 Jan 2023 Burton Albion 2–0 Oxford United
  4. 3 Sep 2022 Oxford United 2–1 Burton Albion
  5. 5 Mar 2022 Oxford United 4–1 Burton Albion

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.