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Match prediction · League One

Bradford City vs Stevenage

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Valley Parade

Our call 1X
Bradford City or draw

For this to come in, Bradford City must win or draw.

Model confidence 70%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Bradford City

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✕ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 v Leyton Orient Leyton Orient Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Reading Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Luton Town Luton Town or draw ✕
  4. W 1–0 at Notts County Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Mansfield Town Mansfield Town Away +1.5 ✓

Stevenage

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 5–1
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. W 1–0 v Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Leyton Orient Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Luton Town Stevenage Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 5–1 at Barnsley Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 at Peterborough United Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Bradford City wins 3 Draws 1 Stevenage wins 1
  1. 11 Apr 2026 Bradford City 0–1 Stevenage
  2. 25 Oct 2025 Stevenage 1–1 Bradford City
  3. 11 Feb 2023 Stevenage 2–3 Bradford City
  4. 17 Sep 2022 Bradford City 3–0 Stevenage
  5. 8 Feb 2022 Stevenage 0–1 Bradford City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.