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Match prediction · League One

Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Wigan Athletic Away +1.5

For this to come in, Wigan Athletic must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Stevenage

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 5–1
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Leyton Orient Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Luton Town Stevenage Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 5–1 at Barnsley Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 at Peterborough United Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers Away +1.5 ✓

Wigan Athletic

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✕ 3–1
  3. ✕ 0–4
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v Wycombe Wanderers Wigan Athletic Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 0–0 at Sheffield Wednesday Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–4 v Stockport County Wigan Athletic Home +1.5 ✕
  4. W 3–1 v MK Dons MK Dons Away +1.5 ✕
  5. L 0–1 at AFC Wimbledon Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Stevenage wins 2 Draws 2 Wigan Athletic wins 1
  1. 2 May 2026 Stevenage 1–0 Wigan Athletic
  2. 29 Nov 2025 Wigan Athletic 0–0 Stevenage
  3. 18 Jan 2025 Stevenage 1–2 Wigan Athletic
  4. 24 Sep 2024 Wigan Athletic 0–0 Stevenage
  5. 27 Jan 2024 Wigan Athletic 2–3 Stevenage

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.