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Match prediction · League One

Stevenage vs Luton Town

Thu 10 Sep · 20:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Stevenage Home +1.5

For this to come in, Stevenage must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 85%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Stevenage

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 5–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 5–1 at Barnsley Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 0–0 at Peterborough United Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 v Oxford United Either team to win ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Burton Albion Either team to win ✕

Luton Town

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 4–3
  2. ✕ 2–2
  3. ✓ 2–5
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Leyton Orient Luton Town or draw ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Stockport County Stockport County Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 2–5 at Mansfield Town Mansfield Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Notts County Luton Town win ✕
  5. W 4–3 at Reading Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Stevenage wins 2 Draws 1 Luton Town wins 2
  1. 10 Jan 2026 Luton Town 2–1 Stevenage
  2. 4 Oct 2025 Stevenage 2–0 Luton Town
  3. 10 Feb 2018 Stevenage 1–1 Luton Town
  4. 14 Oct 2017 Luton Town 7–1 Stevenage
  5. 11 Mar 2017 Luton Town 0–2 Stevenage

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.