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Match prediction · League One

Barnsley vs Stevenage

Sat 5 Sep · 15:00 UK time · Oakwell

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Stevenage Away +1.5

For this to come in, Stevenage must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Barnsley

W2 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 3–1
  4. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 4 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Blackpool Blackpool Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–1 at Leyton Orient Barnsley Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Doncaster Rovers Barnsley Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 v Bromley Either team to win ✓

Stevenage

W0 D3 L1
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 3 of 4 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 at Peterborough United Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Oxford United Either team to win ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Burton Albion Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Barnsley wins 1 Draws 0 Stevenage wins 4
  1. 21 Apr 2026 Stevenage 1–0 Barnsley
  2. 31 Jan 2026 Barnsley 3–1 Stevenage
  3. 25 Jan 2025 Barnsley 0–1 Stevenage
  4. 14 Sep 2024 Stevenage 3–0 Barnsley
  5. 9 Apr 2024 Stevenage 2–1 Barnsley

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.