BabaVanga
Build a parlay
Match prediction · League One

Stevenage vs MK Dons

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
MK Dons Away +1.5

For this to come in, MK Dons must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 80%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Stevenage

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✕ 3–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–0 v Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–2 at Bradford City Bradford City or draw ✓
  3. W 1–0 v Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Leyton Orient Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Luton Town Stevenage Home +1.5 ✓

MK Dons

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 1–5
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✕ 0–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 at Blackpool MK Dons Away +1.5 ✕
  2. W 2–1 v Luton Town MK Dons Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–5 v Reading Reading Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 at AFC Wimbledon MK Dons Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Peterborough United Peterborough United Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Stevenage wins 1 Draws 1 MK Dons wins 3
  1. 16 Mar 2019 MK Dons 1–1 Stevenage
  2. 24 Nov 2018 Stevenage 3–2 MK Dons
  3. 22 Mar 2014 Stevenage 2–3 MK Dons
  4. 28 Sep 2013 MK Dons 4–1 Stevenage
  5. 27 Apr 2013 Stevenage 0–2 MK Dons

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.