BabaVanga
Build a parlay
Match prediction · League One

MK Dons vs Luton Town

Sat 17 Oct · 12:30 UK time · Stadium MK

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
MK Dons Home +1.5

For this to come in, MK Dons must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

MK Dons

W0 D3 L2
  1. ✕ 1–3
  2. ✓ 3–3
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 1–5

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–5 v Reading Reading Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 0–0 at AFC Wimbledon MK Dons Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Peterborough United Peterborough United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 3–3 at Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers or draw ✓
  5. L 1–3 at Wigan Athletic MK Dons Away +1.5 ✕

Luton Town

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 2–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 0–1
  5. ✓ 4–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–1 at Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 v Bradford City Luton Town or draw ✕
  3. L 1–2 at Stevenage Stevenage Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Leyton Orient Luton Town or draw ✓
  5. W 2–0 v Stockport County Stockport County Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

No earlier meeting in our records.

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.