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Match prediction · League One

Stevenage vs Plymouth Argyle

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Plymouth Argyle Away +1.5

For this to come in, Plymouth Argyle must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 85%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Stevenage

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 5–1
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 0–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 at Bradford City Bradford City or draw ✓
  2. W 1–0 v Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–1 at Leyton Orient Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Luton Town Stevenage Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 5–1 at Barnsley Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓

Plymouth Argyle

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 4–2
  2. ✕ 0–1
  3. ✕ 2–0
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 v Huddersfield Town Either team to win ✓
  2. W 2–1 v AFC Wimbledon Plymouth Argyle win ✓
  3. W 2–0 at Leyton Orient Leyton Orient Home +1.5 ✕
  4. L 0–1 v Burton Albion Plymouth Argyle win ✕
  5. W 4–2 at Blackpool Plymouth Argyle Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Stevenage wins 0 Draws 1 Plymouth Argyle wins 4
  1. 17 Mar 2026 Plymouth Argyle 1–0 Stevenage
  2. 1 Jan 2026 Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth Argyle
  3. 25 Jan 2020 Stevenage 1–2 Plymouth Argyle
  4. 29 Dec 2019 Plymouth Argyle 2–1 Stevenage
  5. 14 Jan 2017 Plymouth Argyle 4–2 Stevenage

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.