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Match prediction · League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time · Plough Lane

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
AFC Wimbledon Home +1.5

For this to come in, AFC Wimbledon must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

AFC Wimbledon

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✕ 0–5

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–5 at Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 1–2 at Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle win ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 v MK Dons MK Dons Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers Away +1.5 ✓

Mansfield Town

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Oxford United Oxford United Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Bromley Mansfield Town or draw ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Burton Albion Burton Albion Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Huddersfield Town Huddersfield Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Bradford City Mansfield Town Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

AFC Wimbledon wins 1 Draws 3 Mansfield Town wins 1
  1. 28 Feb 2026 Mansfield Town 2–2 AFC Wimbledon
  2. 13 Dec 2025 AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Mansfield Town
  3. 27 Jan 2024 AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Mansfield Town
  4. 7 Oct 2023 Mansfield Town 0–0 AFC Wimbledon
  5. 4 Mar 2023 AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Mansfield Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.