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Match prediction · League One

Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Hillsborough

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5

For this to come in, AFC Wimbledon must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Sheffield Wednesday

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✕ 2–1
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 at Huddersfield Town Either team to win ✕
  2. D 0–0 v Stockport County Sheffield Wednesday Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 v Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Peterborough United Sheffield Wednesday Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers or draw ✕

AFC Wimbledon

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle win ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 v MK Dons MK Dons Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 at Bromley AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Sheffield Wednesday wins 1 Draws 1 AFC Wimbledon wins 0
  1. 2 Apr 2022 Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 AFC Wimbledon
  2. 16 Oct 2021 AFC Wimbledon 2–2 Sheffield Wednesday

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.