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Match prediction · League One

Oxford United vs Reading

Wed 4 Nov · 19:45 UK time

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Oxford United or Reading must win.

Model confidence 75%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Oxford United

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Barnsley Barnsley Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 1–0 v Stockport County Stockport County Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 v Bradford City Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Wigan Athletic Oxford United or draw ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Mansfield Town Oxford United Away +1.5 ✓

Reading

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 5–1
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✕ 0–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. D 0–0 at Plymouth Argyle Either team to win ✕
  2. W 2–1 v Barnsley Either team to win ✓
  3. W 1–0 v Leyton Orient Leyton Orient Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Wigan Athletic Reading Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 5–1 at MK Dons Reading Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Oxford United wins 0 Draws 2 Reading wins 0
  1. 3 Feb 2024 Oxford United 1–1 Reading
  2. 12 Dec 2023 Reading 1–1 Oxford United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.