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Match prediction · League One

Wigan Athletic vs Reading

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Brick Community Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Reading Away +1.5

For this to come in, Reading must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Wigan Athletic

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✕ 3–1
  2. ✕ 0–4
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Stevenage Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 v Wycombe Wanderers Wigan Athletic Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Sheffield Wednesday Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–4 v Stockport County Wigan Athletic Home +1.5 ✕
  5. W 3–1 v MK Dons MK Dons Away +1.5 ✕

Reading

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 2–0
  3. ✕ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 5–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 5–1 at MK Dons Reading Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Bradford City Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Wycombe Wanderers Either team to win ✕
  4. W 2–0 v Notts County Either team to win ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Cambridge United Reading Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Wigan Athletic wins 1 Draws 0 Reading wins 4
  1. 28 Mar 2026 Reading 3–0 Wigan Athletic
  2. 10 Feb 2026 Wigan Athletic 1–2 Reading
  3. 1 Mar 2025 Wigan Athletic 1–2 Reading
  4. 17 Aug 2024 Reading 2–0 Wigan Athletic
  5. 20 Jan 2024 Wigan Athletic 1–0 Reading

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.