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Match prediction · League One

Oxford United vs Wigan Athletic

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time

Our call 1X
Oxford United or draw

For this to come in, Oxford United must win or draw.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Oxford United

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✕ 4–0
  2. ✓ 3–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Mansfield Town Oxford United Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Notts County Notts County Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Cambridge United Oxford United or draw ✓
  4. W 3–0 v Burton Albion Oxford United win ✓
  5. W 4–0 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✕

Wigan Athletic

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✕ 0–4
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Reading Reading Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Stevenage Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–1 v Wycombe Wanderers Wigan Athletic Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 at Sheffield Wednesday Wigan Athletic Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–4 v Stockport County Wigan Athletic Home +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Oxford United wins 2 Draws 1 Wigan Athletic wins 2
  1. 13 Feb 2024 Oxford United 4–2 Wigan Athletic
  2. 24 Oct 2023 Wigan Athletic 2–0 Oxford United
  3. 1 Feb 2022 Wigan Athletic 1–1 Oxford United
  4. 18 Dec 2021 Oxford United 2–3 Wigan Athletic
  5. 14 Feb 2021 Oxford United 2–1 Wigan Athletic

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.