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Match prediction · League One

Reading vs Barnsley

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Reading or Barnsley must win.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Reading

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✕ 2–2
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 5–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Leyton Orient Leyton Orient Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Wigan Athletic Reading Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 5–1 at MK Dons Reading Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Bradford City Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 at Wycombe Wanderers Either team to win ✕

Barnsley

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✓ 0–3
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–3
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Luton Town Luton Town win ✓
  2. L 1–2 v Cambridge United Cambridge United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–3 at Stockport County Stockport County win ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Leicester City Either team to win ✕
  5. L 0–3 at Plymouth Argyle Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Reading wins 0 Draws 3 Barnsley wins 2
  1. 24 Jan 2026 Reading 2–2 Barnsley
  2. 13 Sep 2025 Barnsley 3–2 Reading
  3. 3 May 2025 Reading 2–4 Barnsley
  4. 26 Nov 2024 Barnsley 2–2 Reading
  5. 13 Apr 2024 Barnsley 2–2 Reading

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.