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Match prediction · League One

Stockport County vs Barnsley

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Edgeley Park

Our call
Stockport County win
Model confidence 57%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Stockport County

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 0–2
  2. ✕ 4–0
  3. ✓ 3–4
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Peterborough United Stockport County win ✓
  2. D 0–0 at Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 3–4 v Leicester City Stockport County Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 4–0 at Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic Home +1.5 ✕
  5. L 0–2 at Luton Town Stockport County Away +1.5 ✕

Barnsley

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 3–1
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 1–5
  4. ✓ 0–3
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Leicester City Either team to win ✕
  2. L 0–3 at Plymouth Argyle Either team to win ✓
  3. L 1–5 v Stevenage Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Blackpool Blackpool Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–1 at Leyton Orient Barnsley Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Stockport County wins 2 Draws 2 Barnsley wins 0
  1. 2 May 2026 Barnsley 1–3 Stockport County
  2. 29 Nov 2025 Stockport County 1–1 Barnsley
  3. 8 Feb 2025 Stockport County 2–1 Barnsley
  4. 28 Sep 2024 Barnsley 1–1 Stockport County

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.