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Match prediction · League One

Barnsley vs Oxford United

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Oakwell

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Barnsley Home +1.5

For this to come in, Barnsley must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Barnsley

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–3
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Reading Either team to win ✓
  2. L 1–2 at Luton Town Luton Town win ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Cambridge United Cambridge United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–3 at Stockport County Stockport County win ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Leicester City Either team to win ✕

Oxford United

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Stockport County Stockport County Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 0–0 v Bradford City Bradford City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Wigan Athletic Oxford United or draw ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Mansfield Town Oxford United Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Notts County Notts County Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Barnsley wins 3 Draws 1 Oxford United wins 1
  1. 23 Jan 2024 Oxford United 0–1 Barnsley
  2. 19 Aug 2023 Barnsley 1–3 Oxford United
  3. 22 Apr 2023 Barnsley 2–0 Oxford United
  4. 1 Feb 2023 Oxford United 1–2 Barnsley
  5. 29 Jan 2019 Oxford United 2–2 Barnsley

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.