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Match prediction · League Two

Newport County vs Chesterfield

Fri 30 Oct · 19:45 UK time · Rodney Parade

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Newport County or Chesterfield must win.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Newport County

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Cheltenham Town Newport County Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 at Rotherham United Rotherham United win ✕
  3. D 1–1 v York City York City win ✕
  4. W 1–0 v Colchester United Newport County Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 at Gillingham Newport County Away +1.5 ✓

Chesterfield

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 4–2
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 5–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 5–1 v Crewe Alexandra Chesterfield or draw ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Colchester United Colchester United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–1 at Port Vale Chesterfield Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 at Crawley Town Crawley Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 4–2 v Tranmere Rovers Chesterfield win ✓

Last meetings

Newport County wins 1 Draws 0 Chesterfield wins 4
  1. 24 Jan 2026 Newport County 2–1 Chesterfield
  2. 27 Sep 2025 Chesterfield 4–1 Newport County
  3. 8 Mar 2025 Chesterfield 2–1 Newport County
  4. 18 Oct 2024 Newport County 0–3 Chesterfield
  5. 1 May 2018 Chesterfield 1–0 Newport County

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.