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Match prediction · League Two

Cheltenham Town vs Newport County

Sat 24 Oct · 12:30 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Newport County Away +1.5

For this to come in, Newport County must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Cheltenham Town

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✕ 0–2
  3. ✕ 0–2
  4. ✓ 1–4
  5. ✓ 4–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–2 v Fleetwood Town Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–4 at Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic or draw ✓
  3. L 0–2 v Salford City Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✕
  4. L 0–2 at Accrington Stanley Cheltenham Town Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 2–1 v Chesterfield Cheltenham Town Home +1.5 ✓

Newport County

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 2–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 at Rotherham United Rotherham United win ✕
  2. D 1–1 v York City York City win ✕
  3. W 1–0 v Colchester United Newport County Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 at Gillingham Newport County Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Grimsby Town Newport County Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Cheltenham Town wins 4 Draws 0 Newport County wins 1
  1. 18 Apr 2026 Cheltenham Town 1–0 Newport County
  2. 18 Oct 2025 Newport County 0–2 Cheltenham Town
  3. 22 Feb 2025 Newport County 0–3 Cheltenham Town
  4. 10 Aug 2024 Cheltenham Town 3–2 Newport County
  5. 1 May 2021 Newport County 1–0 Cheltenham Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.