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Match prediction · League Two

Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield

Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 UK time · Memorial Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Bristol Rovers Home +1.5

For this to come in, Bristol Rovers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Bristol Rovers

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✕ 1–3
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✕ 1–3

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–3 at Fleetwood Town Bristol Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 0–0 v Swindon Town Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Salford City Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–3 v Barnet Bristol Rovers Home +1.5 ✕

Chesterfield

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 5–1
  5. ✓ 1–4

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–4 at Newport County Either team to win ✓
  2. W 5–1 v Crewe Alexandra Chesterfield or draw ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Colchester United Colchester United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Port Vale Chesterfield Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 at Crawley Town Crawley Town Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Bristol Rovers wins 1 Draws 0 Chesterfield wins 4
  1. 7 Feb 2026 Bristol Rovers 2–3 Chesterfield
  2. 16 Aug 2025 Chesterfield 3–1 Bristol Rovers
  3. 18 Mar 2017 Bristol Rovers 2–1 Chesterfield
  4. 26 Nov 2016 Chesterfield 3–2 Bristol Rovers
  5. 1 Feb 2014 Chesterfield 3–1 Bristol Rovers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.