Match prediction · Premier League

Newcastle United vs Everton

Mon 2 Nov · 20:00 UK time · St James' Park

Our call 1X
Newcastle United or draw

For this to come in, Newcastle United must win or draw.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Last meetings

Newcastle United wins 1 Draws 2 Everton wins 2
  1. 28 Feb 2026 Newcastle United 2–3 Everton
  2. 29 Nov 2025 Everton 1–4 Newcastle United
  3. 25 May 2025 Newcastle United 0–1 Everton
  4. 5 Oct 2024 Everton 0–0 Newcastle United
  5. 2 Apr 2024 Newcastle United 1–1 Everton

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.