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Match prediction · Premier League

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United

Sun 25 Oct · 14:00 UK time · Selhurst Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Crystal Palace Home +1.5

For this to come in, Crystal Palace must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Crystal Palace

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 3–2
  2. ✕ 2–3
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✕ 3–1
  5. ✓ 0–5

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–5 at Brighton & Hove Albion Either team to win ✓
  2. W 3–1 v Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 0–0 at Leeds United Crystal Palace Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 2–3 v Ipswich Town Crystal Palace win ✕
  5. W 3–2 at Fulham Crystal Palace Away +1.5 ✓

Newcastle United

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✕ 2–2
  2. ✓ 1–4
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 1–4
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v Aston Villa Either team to win ✓
  2. L 1–4 at Coventry City Either team to win ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Hull City Newcastle United win ✓
  4. L 1–4 at Leeds United Leeds United Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Bournemouth Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Crystal Palace wins 2 Draws 1 Newcastle United wins 2
  1. 12 Apr 2026 Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle United
  2. 4 Jan 2026 Newcastle United 2–0 Crystal Palace
  3. 16 Apr 2025 Newcastle United 5–0 Crystal Palace
  4. 30 Nov 2024 Crystal Palace 1–1 Newcastle United
  5. 24 Apr 2024 Crystal Palace 2–0 Newcastle United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.