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Match prediction · League One

MK Dons vs Doncaster Rovers

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Stadium MK

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Doncaster Rovers Away +1.5

For this to come in, Doncaster Rovers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

MK Dons

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 1–5
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✕ 0–2
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✕ 4–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–1 v Bromley Bromley Away +1.5 ✕
  2. W 1–0 at Stevenage MK Dons Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Blackpool MK Dons Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 2–1 v Luton Town MK Dons Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–5 v Reading Reading Away +1.5 ✓

Doncaster Rovers

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✕ 0–2
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✓ 1–3

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–3 at Luton Town Luton Town win ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–2 v Stockport County Doncaster Rovers Home +1.5 ✕
  4. L 1–2 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Burton Albion Burton Albion Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

MK Dons wins 1 Draws 1 Doncaster Rovers wins 3
  1. 1 Feb 2025 Doncaster Rovers 2–1 MK Dons
  2. 21 Sep 2024 MK Dons 1–1 Doncaster Rovers
  3. 1 Jan 2024 Doncaster Rovers 3–0 MK Dons
  4. 26 Aug 2023 MK Dons 2–1 Doncaster Rovers
  5. 22 Jan 2022 MK Dons 0–1 Doncaster Rovers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.