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Match prediction · League One

Leicester City vs Doncaster Rovers

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · King Power Stadium

Our call
Leicester City win
Model confidence 70%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Leicester City

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✕ 0–4
  3. ✓ 4–3
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 1–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–3 v Peterborough United Leicester City win ✕
  2. D 1–1 at Barnsley Either team to win ✕
  3. W 4–3 at Stockport County Stockport County Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–4 v Oxford United Leicester City win ✕
  5. W 2–0 v Plymouth Argyle Leicester City win ✓

Doncaster Rovers

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–3
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 2–0
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Burton Albion Burton Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–0 at Peterborough United Either team to win ✓
  3. L 0–1 at AFC Wimbledon Doncaster Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 2–3 v Plymouth Argyle Doncaster Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Notts County Notts County Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Leicester City wins 2 Draws 1 Doncaster Rovers wins 2
  1. 3 May 2014 Leicester City 1–0 Doncaster Rovers
  2. 5 Oct 2013 Doncaster Rovers 1–0 Leicester City
  3. 7 Apr 2012 Leicester City 4–0 Doncaster Rovers
  4. 17 Dec 2011 Doncaster Rovers 2–1 Leicester City
  5. 30 Apr 2011 Doncaster Rovers 1–1 Leicester City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.