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Match prediction · League One

Leicester City vs Peterborough United

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time · King Power Stadium

Our call
Leicester City win
Model confidence 69%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Leicester City

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✕ 0–0
  2. ✓ 2–0
  3. ✕ 0–4
  4. ✓ 4–3
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Barnsley Either team to win ✕
  2. W 4–3 at Stockport County Stockport County Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–4 v Oxford United Leicester City win ✕
  4. W 2–0 v Plymouth Argyle Leicester City win ✓
  5. D 0–0 at MK Dons Leicester City win ✕

Peterborough United

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Stockport County Stockport County win ✓
  2. L 0–2 v Doncaster Rovers Either team to win ✓
  3. D 1–1 at MK Dons Peterborough United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 v Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 v Stevenage Stevenage Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Leicester City wins 1 Draws 1 Peterborough United wins 2
  1. 9 Feb 2013 Peterborough United 2–1 Leicester City
  2. 18 Aug 2012 Leicester City 2–0 Peterborough United
  3. 31 Mar 2012 Peterborough United 1–0 Leicester City
  4. 10 Dec 2011 Leicester City 1–1 Peterborough United

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.