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Match prediction · League One

Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers

Tue 27 Oct · 19:45 UK time · Kenilworth Road

Our call
Luton Town win
Model confidence 59%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Luton Town

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✕ 0–1
  2. ✓ 4–1
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Leicester City Luton Town Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Barnsley Luton Town win ✓
  3. L 1–2 at MK Dons MK Dons Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 4–1 at Wycombe Wanderers Luton Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 v Bradford City Luton Town or draw ✕

Doncaster Rovers

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–2 v Stockport County Doncaster Rovers Home +1.5 ✕
  3. L 1–2 at Leicester City Leicester City win ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Burton Albion Burton Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 at Peterborough United Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Luton Town wins 2 Draws 2 Doncaster Rovers wins 1
  1. 10 Mar 2026 Doncaster Rovers 1–1 Luton Town
  2. 27 Sep 2025 Luton Town 1–0 Doncaster Rovers
  3. 23 Mar 2019 Luton Town 4–0 Doncaster Rovers
  4. 8 Sep 2018 Doncaster Rovers 2–1 Luton Town
  5. 18 Feb 2017 Doncaster Rovers 1–1 Luton Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.