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Match prediction · League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool

Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 UK time · Plough Lane

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
AFC Wimbledon Home +1.5

For this to come in, AFC Wimbledon must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

AFC Wimbledon

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✕ 0–5
  3. ✕ 0–3
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Stockport County Stockport County win ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Wycombe Wanderers AFC Wimbledon Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–3 v Mansfield Town AFC Wimbledon Home +1.5 ✕
  4. L 0–5 at Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✕
  5. L 1–2 at Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle win ✓

Blackpool

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✕ 0–2
  3. ✕ 2–0
  4. ✓ 1–4
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Sheffield Wednesday Blackpool Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–4 v Mansfield Town Mansfield Town Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–0 v MK Dons MK Dons Away +1.5 ✕
  4. L 0–2 at Leyton Orient Blackpool Away +1.5 ✕
  5. L 0–1 at Cambridge United Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

AFC Wimbledon wins 3 Draws 2 Blackpool wins 0
  1. 11 Mar 2026 AFC Wimbledon 4–1 Blackpool
  2. 4 Oct 2025 Blackpool 0–2 AFC Wimbledon
  3. 6 Mar 2021 Blackpool 1–1 AFC Wimbledon
  4. 27 Oct 2020 AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Blackpool
  5. 22 Feb 2020 AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Blackpool

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.