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Match prediction · League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Wycombe Wanderers

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Plough Lane

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
AFC Wimbledon Home +1.5

For this to come in, AFC Wimbledon must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

AFC Wimbledon

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 0–5
  5. ✕ 0–3

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–3 v Mansfield Town AFC Wimbledon Home +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–5 at Sheffield Wednesday AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 1–2 at Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle win ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Cambridge United AFC Wimbledon Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 v MK Dons MK Dons Away +1.5 ✓

Wycombe Wanderers

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✕ 2–2
  3. ✓ 1–4
  4. ✓ 2–0
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. D 2–2 at Cambridge United Cambridge United Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Notts County Wycombe Wanderers or draw ✓
  3. L 1–4 v Luton Town Luton Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Reading Either team to win ✕
  5. W 1–0 at Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

AFC Wimbledon wins 1 Draws 3 Wycombe Wanderers wins 1
  1. 4 Jan 2026 Wycombe Wanderers 2–0 AFC Wimbledon
  2. 27 Sep 2025 AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Wycombe Wanderers
  3. 18 Apr 2022 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Wycombe Wanderers
  4. 11 Dec 2021 Wycombe Wanderers 2–2 AFC Wimbledon
  5. 31 Aug 2019 AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Wycombe Wanderers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.