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Match prediction · Premier League

Manchester City vs Ipswich Town

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Etihad Stadium

Our call
Manchester City win
Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Manchester City

W5 D0 L0
  1. ✓ 4–1
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 5–3
  5. ✕ 3–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 3–0 at Liverpool Liverpool Home +1.5 ✕
  2. W 5–3 v Sunderland Manchester City win ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Manchester United Either team to win ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Coventry City Manchester City win ✓
  5. W 4–1 at Crystal Palace Manchester City win ✓

Ipswich Town

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 2–5
  2. ✓ 0–2
  3. ✕ 3–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Fulham Either team to win ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Everton Everton win ✓
  3. W 3–2 at Crystal Palace Crystal Palace win ✕
  4. L 0–2 v Liverpool Liverpool win ✓
  5. L 2–5 at Manchester United Manchester United win ✓

Last meetings

Manchester City wins 2 Draws 0 Ipswich Town wins 0
  1. 19 Jan 2025 Ipswich Town 0–6 Manchester City
  2. 24 Aug 2024 Manchester City 4–1 Ipswich Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.